Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002003 0.002194 0.002386 0.002593 0.002808 0.003026 0.003262
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.001806 0.002097 0.002396 0.002726 0.003079 0.003443 0.003845
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001487 0.001838 0.002211 0.002633 0.003094 0.003579 0.004124
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001254 0.001651 0.002085 0.002588 0.003147 0.003745 0.004428
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001100 0.001537 0.002027 0.002607 0.003263 0.003974 0.004793
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000969 0.001437 0.001976 0.002625 0.003370 0.004188 0.005140
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000879 0.001376 0.001963 0.002681 0.003517 0.004442 0.005528
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000794 0.001314 0.001942 0.002724 0.003644 0.004671 0.005886
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000705 0.001240 0.001901 0.002737 0.003732 0.004853 0.006188
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000597 0.001132 0.001811 0.002686 0.003742 0.004942 0.006382
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000526 0.001065 0.001769 0.002689 0.003812 0.005098 0.006649
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000470 0.001015 0.001744 0.002711 0.003901 0.005274 0.006938
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000432 0.000994 0.001763 0.002796 0.004078 0.005566 0.007378
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000414 0.001003 0.001821 0.002932 0.004320 0.005937 0.007913
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000320 0.000882 0.001699 0.002833 0.004273 0.005967 0.008051
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000253 0.000796 0.001618 0.002785 0.004285 0.006064 0.008267
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000213 0.000749 0.001591 0.002805 0.004379 0.006259 0.008596
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000177 0.000706 0.001565 0.002823 0.004470 0.006449 0.008920
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000155 0.000684 0.001569 0.002881 0.004611 0.006699 0.009314
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000132 0.000658 0.001564 0.002925 0.004733 0.006925 0.009679
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000107 0.000619 0.001537 0.002938 0.004815 0.007101 0.009984
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000555 0.001466 0.002886 0.004809 0.007169 0.010159
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000518 0.001436 0.002889 0.004875 0.007323 0.010437